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Analyzing seasonal patterns of wildfire exposure factors in Sardinia, Italy

Salis, Michele and Ager, Alan A. and Alcasena, Fermin J. and Arca, Bachisio and Finney, Mark A. and Pellizzaro, Grazia and Spano, Donatella Emma Ignazia (2014) Analyzing seasonal patterns of wildfire exposure factors in Sardinia, Italy. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Vol. 187 (1), [Article] 4175. ISSN 0167-6369. eISSN 1573-2959. Article.

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DOI: 10.1007/s10661-014-4175-x

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Abstract

In this paper, we applied landscape scale wildfire simulation modeling to explore the spatiotemporal patterns of wildfire likelihood and intensity in the island of Sardinia (Italy). We also performed wildfire exposure analysis for selected highly valued resources on the island to identify areas characterized by high risk. We observed substantial variation in burn probability, fire size, and flame length among time periods within the fire season, which starts in early June and ends in late September. Peak burn probability and flame length were observed in late July. We found that patterns of wildfire likelihood and intensity were mainly related to spatiotemporal variation in ignition locations, fuel moisture, and wind vectors. Our modeling approach allowed consideration of historical patterns of winds, ignition locations, and live and dead fuel moisture on fire exposure factors. The methodology proposed can be useful for analyzing potential wildfire risk and effects at landscape scale, evaluating historical changes and future trends in wildfire exposure, as well as for addressing and informing fuel management and risk mitigation issues.

Item Type:Article
ID Code:10542
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords:Burn probability, fire exposure, fire risk, Mediterranean areas, MTT algorithm, seasonal patterns, fire modeling, Sardinia
Subjects:Area 07 - Scienze agrarie e veterinarie > AGR/03 Arboricoltura generale e coltivazioni arboree
Divisions:002 Altri enti e centri di ricerca del Nord Sardegna > CNR-Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche > Istituto di biometeorologia, Sassari
002 Altri enti e centri di ricerca del Nord Sardegna > CMCC-EuroMediterranean Center for Climate Change, Sassari
001 Università di Sassari > 01-a Nuovi Dipartimenti dal 2012 > Scienze della Natura e del Territorio
Publisher:Springer
ISSN:0167-6369
eISSN:1573-2959
Copyright Holders:© The Author(s) 2014
Deposited On:18 Dec 2014 12:57

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